Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-27 00:00:00+00:00 3.740735e-05 0.000044 0.000052 0.000060 0.000070 0.000080 0.000092
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 2.798079e-05 0.000037 0.000047 0.000059 0.000073 0.000089 0.000108
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 2.359715e-05 0.000033 0.000045 0.000060 0.000079 0.000100 0.000127
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 1.893297e-05 0.000029 0.000042 0.000059 0.000080 0.000106 0.000138
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 1.594624e-05 0.000026 0.000040 0.000059 0.000083 0.000113 0.000152
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 1.275893e-05 0.000023 0.000037 0.000057 0.000083 0.000116 0.000160
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 1.038842e-05 0.000020 0.000034 0.000055 0.000083 0.000120 0.000169
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 8.850533e-06 0.000018 0.000033 0.000055 0.000086 0.000126 0.000181
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 7.325621e-06 0.000016 0.000031 0.000054 0.000086 0.000130 0.000189
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 6.101326e-06 0.000015 0.000029 0.000053 0.000087 0.000134 0.000199
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 5.012155e-06 0.000013 0.000028 0.000051 0.000087 0.000137 0.000207
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 3.956610e-06 0.000012 0.000025 0.000049 0.000086 0.000138 0.000212
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 2.875267e-06 0.000010 0.000023 0.000047 0.000086 0.000141 0.000221
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 2.088236e-06 0.000008 0.000021 0.000046 0.000086 0.000144 0.000231
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.766751e-06 0.000008 0.000021 0.000047 0.000091 0.000155 0.000251
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.271772e-06 0.000007 0.000020 0.000046 0.000091 0.000159 0.000262
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 9.746061e-07 0.000006 0.000019 0.000046 0.000093 0.000166 0.000277
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 6.418484e-07 0.000005 0.000017 0.000044 0.000092 0.000168 0.000285
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 4.224323e-07 0.000004 0.000016 0.000043 0.000092 0.000171 0.000294
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 3.000914e-07 0.000004 0.000015 0.000043 0.000094 0.000177 0.000308
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.902777e-07 0.000003 0.000014 0.000042 0.000095 0.000180 0.000319
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.169396e-07 0.000003 0.000013 0.000041 0.000095 0.000185 0.000330
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 6.465154e-08 0.000002 0.000012 0.000040 0.000095 0.000188 0.000340